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Central Section Football Playoff Picture: October 10th

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In 8-man football action, Fresno Christian beat Sierra handily, 56-27. The Eagles are in the driver’s seat to win their league.

By Gabe Camarillo

By the end of this month, we will know the high school football playoff brackets. Through seven games, I took a snapshot of what they look like right now.

The actual brackets come out on Saturday, October 29. Before we dive into projected brackets, here are some things to know:

1. These are NOT my rankings or brackets. These were pulled from CalPreps.com, and I applied the head-to-head and common opponent tiebreakers like the Central Section will do on 10/29.

2. Speaking of tiebreakers, here are the rules for them. If two teams are within two rating points of each other on CalPreps.com, the first tiebreaker is head-to-head result between them. The next tiebreaker, if both teams are in the same league, is finish in league standings. The final tiebreaker is record vs. common opponents. 

3. Every team has a base division. They can either play one division higher or lower than their base, depending on where they are ranked by CalPreps’ computers. No higher and no lower.

4. I highlighted select teams in BOLD.  BOLD teams are currently 1-6 and need to win twice in the final three games or they will miss playoffs. The minimum winning percentage to compete in playoffs is .300, or a record of 3-7.

5. One more interesting twist, something I learned last season — the CalPreps predicted score plays a factor into ratings, especially if the predicted winner loses.

** IMPORTANT NOTE: If there aren’t enough qualified teams to fill Division 2 through 6 with 16 teams, D2 might have 12 teams with the top four receiving byes.

Updated as of 10/10/2022, 2:00 P.M. PST

Division 1:

1 Clovis West

2 Buchanan

3 San Joaquin Memorial

4 Liberty-Bakersfield

5 St. Joseph

6 Clovis East

7 Central

8 Centennial

9 Clovis North

10 Clovis

11 Redwood

12  Hanford 

Notes: Central falls behind Clovis East, but the Grizzlies can change that on the field Thursday… Clovis North leaped Clovis because of the head-to-head win… Hanford jumped into D1 because of Garces suffering its 6th loss.

 

Division 2:

1 Central Valley Christian 

2 Kingsburg

3 Lemoore

4 Bakersfield Christian

5 Frontier

6 Garces

7 Washington Union

8 Dinuba

9 Bullard

10 Paso Robles

11 Golden West

12 Ridgeview

13 Lompoc

14 Bakersfield

15 Sanger

16 Tehachapi

Notes: A lot of changes! It’s safe to say CVC, Kingsburg, and Lemoore are locked into the top three, with CVC vs. Kingsburg determining the top seed… Frontier is ranked three spots behind Garces but jumps ahead of them because of the head-to-head result… Washington Union is ranked two spots behind Dinuba but jumped ahead of them because of head-to-head result… since Ridgeview is more than two rating points below Frontier, they would face Titans on the road in playoff rematch despite beating them in regular season… Edison dropped out of the playoff picture.

 

Division 3:

1 Mission Prep

2 Santa Ynez

3 Mission Oak

4 Kerman

5 Chavez

6 Porterville

7 Arroyo Grande

8 San Luis Obispo

9 Kennedy

10 Sunnyside

11 Highland

12 Tulare Union

13 Wasco

14 Atascadero

15 Mt. Whitney

16 Madera

Notes: Even though Highland beat Kennedy, because they are separated by more than two rating points, Highland is still seeded below Kennedy… The same is true for Tulare Union and Mt. Whitney. The Tribe are rated higher because of their superior strength of schedule, as perceived by the computers… despite losing to San Joaquin Memorial 56-0, Madera jumped into D3 because of its boost in strength of schedule.

 

Division 4:

1 Liberty (Madera)

2 Torres

3 Taft

4 Caruthers

5 Independence

6 Tulare Western

7 Shafter

8 Fowler

9 Garza

10 Reedley

11 Strathmore

12 Coalinga

13 Morro Bay

14 North

15 Dos Palos

16 Templeton

Notes: Righetti fell out of the playoff picture; they are based in D2 but appeared among the D4 teams… Dos Palos jumped into D4 after its third straight win.

 

Division 5:

1 Bishop

2 Monache

3 Exeter

4 Corcoran

5 Immanuel

6 Madera South

7 McLane

8 Golden Valley

9 Arvin

10 Santa Maria

11 Pioneer Valley

12 Mendota

13 Delano

14 Woodlake

15 Selma

16 Chowchilla

Notes: Corcoran jumped ahead of Immanuel since it defeated Fowler, which beat Immanuel… despite beating Golden Valley, Delano is more than two rating points below, so the head-to-head doesn’t come into effect… Roosevelt dropped out of the playoff picture.

 

Division 6:

1 Hanford West

2 Avenal

3 Firebaugh

4 Sierra Pacific

5 Cabrillo

6 Riverdale

7 Kern Valley

8 Orosi

9 Boron

10 Lindsay

11 Yosemite

12 Farmersville

13 Foothill

14 Mira Monte

15 McFarland

16 Orange Cove

First team out: Tranquility (1-6)

Notes: Riverdale is more than two rating points lower than Avenal. Even though they won the head-to-head matchup, they are seeded lower.. Same goes for Farmersville, which beat Orosi. Farmersville lost to Lindsay last week, 36-14… Yosemite joins the playoff picture after beating Riverdale, 52-47.

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